Match Info

Date: 22 May 2021, Saturday


	Cova De Piedade		Casa Pia

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.87
	2.35	2.95	3
	2.38	2.85	3.05
	2.42	3.05	2.85
	2.62	3.07	3.07
	2.35	3.1	3
	2.51	2.92	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.31)	3.01 ↓ (3.15)	2.98 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cova De Piedade
38.1%

Draw
30.8%

Casa Pia
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

20.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cova De Piedade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cova De Piedade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casa Pia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cova De Piedade - Casa Pia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cova De Piedade could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cova De Piedade won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cova De Piedade won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
15.05.21	Vilafranquense - Cova De Piedade	0:0 ✺
09.05.21	Cova De Piedade - Vizela	1:1 ✺
01.05.21	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	5:1 ✺
25.04.21	Cova De Piedade - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Penafiel - Cova De Piedade	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTLTT
- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.21	Casa Pia - Varzim	3:0 ✺
09.05.21	Arouca - Casa Pia	2:1 ✺
02.05.21	Casa Pia - Académico de Viseu	0:0 ✺
23.04.21	Estoril Praia - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
18.04.21	Casa Pia - Académica Coimbra	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
25.01.21	Casa Pia - Cova De Piedade	2:1
01.03.20	Casa Pia - Cova De Piedade	1:1
22.09.19	Cova De Piedade - Casa Pia	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.16	Casa Pia - Cova De Piedade	1:0

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