Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
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Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV1
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport ESPN
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+


	Coventry City		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	8	Watch
	1.32	5.75	8.75
	1.29	5.9	9.29	Watch
	1.3	5.97	9.36
	1.31	5.75	8.84	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.3	5.85	9.1	Watch
	1.29	5.9	9.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)	5.83 ↑ (4.87)	8.95 ↑ (8.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
73.1%

Draw
16.3%

Plymouth Argyle
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

19.5%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

18.8%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.5%	12.9%	22.6%

Coventry City - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Plymouth will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dovin O. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 21. Bidwell J. 28. Eccles J. 14. Sheaf B. (C) 5. Rudoni J. 7. Sakamoto T. 37. Bassette N. 10. Mason-Clark E.	31. Grimshaw D. (G) 2. Mumba B. 6. Szucs K. 17. Gibson L. (C) 22. Galloway B. 20. Randell A. 15. Bundu M. 28. Al Hajj R. 18. Gyabi D. 39. Finn T. 19. Gray A.
Substitutes
8. Allen J. 2. Binks L. 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 40. Collins B. (G) 3. Dasilva J. 15. Kitching L. 9. Simms E. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 29. Torp V.	27. Forshaw A. 21. Hazard C. (G) 4. Houghton J. 35. Issaka F. 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 29. Sorinola M. 11. Wright C.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Rooney W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sakamoto T. ⚽, Sheaf B. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Eccles J. ⚽, Mason-Clark E. (A),
37', Bundu M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
39', 3 - 0, Mason-Clark E. ⚽, Eccles J. (A),
45', 4 - 0, Eccles J. ⚽, Rudoni J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
46', Gray A. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
55', Al Hajj R. ↓, Forshaw A. ↑,
62', Bassette N. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
62', Sakamoto T. ↓, Thomas-Asante B. ↑,
71', Gyabi D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
71', Galloway B. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
74', van Ewijk M. ↓, Kitching L. ↑,
74', Rudoni J. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
85', Szucs K. 🟨,
87', Wright C. 🟥,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Recent matches Coventry is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Plymouth has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Coventry is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Coventry: Wilson B. (Knee Injury) Wright H. (Knock)

There will not play in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coventry won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Coventry won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
21.12.24	Portsmouth - Coventry City	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Coventry City - Hull City	2:1 ✺
11.12.24	West Bromwich Albion - Coventry City	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Millwall - Coventry City	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Coventry City - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWT
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
21.12.24	Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough	3:3 ✺
14.12.24	Sheffield United - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
10.12.24	Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Bristol City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0 ✺
26.11.24	Norwich City - Plymouth Argyle	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
14.02.24	Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City	2:2
28.11.23	Coventry City - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
English League One
19.01.19	Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City	2:1
18.08.18	Coventry City - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
English EFL Trophy
12.11.14	Coventry City - Plymouth Argyle	2:0

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