Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 22

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Plymouth Argyle		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.53	Watch
	5.25	4.5	1.55
	5.41	4.44	1.56	Watch
	5.53	4.68	1.55
	5.48	4.58	1.54	Watch
	5.5	4.4	1.55
	5.4	4.6	1.54	Watch
	5.41	4.44	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↓ (6.12)	4.5 ↓ (4.71)	1.55 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
17.5%

Draw
21.1%

Middlesbrough
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

20%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

19.5%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Grimshaw D. (G) 2. Mumba B. 6. Szucs K. 17. Gibson L. (C) 22. Galloway B. 15. Bundu M. 20. Randell A. 28. Al Hajj R. 18. Gyabi D. 14. Obafemi M. 9. Hardie R.	31. Brynn S. (G) 15. Dijksteel A. 3. van den Berg R. 25. Edmundson G. 30. Neto Borges 50. Doak B. 16. Howson J. (C) 20. Azaz F. 7. Hackney H. 8. McGree R. 22. Conway T.
Substitutes
39. Finn T. 19. Gray A. 21. Hazard C. (G) 4. Houghton J. 35. Issaka F. 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V. 29. Sorinola M. 11. Wright C.	4. Barlaser D. 10. Burgzorg D. 5. Clarke M. 6. Fry D. 14. Gilbert A. 23. Glover T. (G) 17. Hamilton M. 11. Jones I. 9. Latte Lath E.
Coaches
Rooney W.	Carrick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Obafemi M. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Gibson L. ⚽, Hardie R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, Howson J. ⚽,
60', Hardie R. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
70', Edmundson G. 🟨,
71', Galloway B. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Gyabi D. ⚽, Bundu M. (A),
75', Howson J. ↓, Barlaser D. ↑,
75', McGree R. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
75', Conway T. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
77', Ogbeta N. 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Hackney H. ⚽,
79', Edmundson G. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Bundu M. ⚽, Ogbeta N. (A),
84', 3 - 3, Latte Lath E. ⚽,
84', Azaz F. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
87', Gyabi D. 🟨,
90+6', Doak B. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Plymouth has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Middlesbrough is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Middlesbrough is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Plymouth: Cissoko I. (Groin Injury) Edwards J. (Hamstring Injury) Tijani M. (Leg Injury) Whittaker M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Smith T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Morris A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
14.12.24	Sheffield United - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
10.12.24	Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Bristol City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0 ✺
26.11.24	Norwich City - Plymouth Argyle	6:1 ✺
22.11.24	Plymouth Argyle - Watford	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
14.12.24	Middlesbrough - Millwall	1:0 ✺
10.12.24	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
06.12.24	Burnley - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Middlesbrough - Hull City	3:1 ✺
27.11.24	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
24.02.24	Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle	0:2
04.11.23	Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough	3:3
Club Friendly
25.08.20	Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough	0:1

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