Match Info

Championship - Round 33

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Bromwich Albion		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.96	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.35
	3.56	3.56	2.03	Watch
	3.53	3.56	2.11
	3.6	3.6	2.01	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.91	3.61	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.86)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	2.07 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
27%

Draw
27.1%

Coventry City
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.1%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Bromwich Albion's form might have worsened.

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coventry City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Bromwich Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coventry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.1%	8.1%	83.8%

West Bromwich Albion - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). Coventry will win (votes: 31 - 83.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 71.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coventry City will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 14. Gilchrist A. 5. Bielik K. 29. Taylor C. 4. Styles C. 8. Molumby J. 27. Mowatt A. 7. Wallace J. (C) 21. Price I. 18. Jimoh-Aloba J. 19. Heggebo A.	19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 3. Dasilva J. 16. Onyeka F. 6. Grimes M. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 5. Rudoni J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 11. Wright H.
Substitutes
37. Bostock O. 6. Campbell G. 17. Diakite O. 12. Dike D. 30. Imray D. 11. Johnston M. 9. Maja J. 3. Phillips N. 45. Wallis J. (G)	21. Bidwell J. 28. Eccles J. 14. Esse R. 15. Kitching L. 9. Simms E. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L.
Coaches
Ramsay E.	Lampard F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Mason-Clark E. ⚽, van Ewijk M. (A),
16', van Ewijk M. 🟨,
17', Sakamoto T. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Rudoni J. ⚽, Thomas B. (A),
38', Thomas B. 🟨,
40', Gilchrist A. ↓, Campbell G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Heggebo A. ↓, Dike D. ↑,
61', Jimoh-Aloba J. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
61', Wallace J. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
71', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
72', Rudoni J. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
78', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Thomas-Asante B. ↑,
78', Sakamoto T. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
85', Mowatt A. ↓, Bostock O. ↑,
86', Onyeka F. ↓, Torp V. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 3.

West Bromwich is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Coventry has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Coventry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, West Bromwich has had a series of away games.

Coventry might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in West Bromwich: Bany T. (Muscle Injury) Campbell G. (Inactive) Grant K. (Injury)

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in West Bromwich: Mepham C. (Inactive) Phillips N. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Brom: 4.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	West Brom	9	4	2	3	10:9	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

West Bromwich Albion - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Coventry City - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
English League Championship
10.02.26	Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	West Bromwich Albion - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Portsmouth - West Bromwich Albion	3:0 ✺
23.01.26	Derby County - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLT
- Coventry City
English League Championship
16.02.26	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Coventry City - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Norwich City - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Coventry City - Millwall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.11.25	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	3:2
18.04.25	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	2:0
11.12.24	West Bromwich Albion - Coventry City	2:0
01.03.24	West Bromwich Albion - Coventry City	2:1
30.10.23	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	0:2
03.02.23	West Bromwich Albion - Coventry City	1:0
21.12.22	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0

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