Match Info

League Two - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.57	Watch
	2.48	3.45	2.68	Watch
	2.6	3.55	2.7
	2.15	3.55	3.03	Watch
	2.51	3.42	2.64	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.15)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	2.78 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
39.3%

Draw
27%

Fleetwood Town
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Fleetwood (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Wollacott J. (G) 5. Barker C. 28. Flint J. 15. Radcliffe B. 2. Malone S. (C) 10. Brown R. 6. Anderson M. 27. Watson L. 22. Adeyemo A. 24. Dixon K. 14. Flower L.	13. Lynch J. (G) 18. Holgate H. 4. Bolton J. 3. Medley Z. 20. Neal H. 14. McCann L. 16. Ennis E. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 6. Bonds E. (C) 17. Evans C. 7. Graydon R.
Substitutes
4. Bajrami G. 7. Forster H. 19. Pereira D. 17. Scott K. 9. Tshimanga K. 26. Williams J.	26. Costello C. 19. Coughlan R. 1. Harrington D. (G) 10. Helm M. 44. Mullarkey T. 11. Norwood J.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Wild P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Medley Z. 🟨,
10', Medley Z. 🟨,
16', Malone S. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
35', Graydon R. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Flower L. ⚽, Flint J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Neal H. ↓, Mullarkey T. ↑,
50', Flint J. 🟨,
59', Adeyemo A. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Forster H. ⚽,
68', Graydon R. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
75', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
78', Evans C. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Bolton J. ⚽,
84', Dixon K. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
84', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
90+6', Bolton J. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 10).

Crawley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fleetwood is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Fleetwood has had a series of home games.

Crawley will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Injury) Davies H. (Injury)

There will not play in Fleetwood: Potter F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fleetwood: Davies W. (Injury) Johnson W. (Inactive) Rooney S. (Foot Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Fleetwood Town - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Boreham Wood - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL
- Fleetwood Town
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Fleetwood Town - Barnet	2:1 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Leeds United U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
01.12.19	Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town	1:2
English League One
24.01.15	Fleetwood Town - Crawley Town	1:0
13.09.14	Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town	1:0

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