Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Crawley Town		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.3
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.2	3.4	2.25
	3.05	3.2	2.25
	3.22	3.45	2.31
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	3.18	3.52	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.93)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
30%

Draw
28.2%

Port Vale
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

20.9%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crawley Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crawley Town - Port Vale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crawley has the most likely position - 21 (7.43%), has project points - 56, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Port Vale has the most likely position - 1 (12.45%), has project points - 76, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Crawley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Port Vale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
23.10.21	Scunthorpe United - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
19.10.21	Crawley Town - Exeter City	1:3 ✺
16.10.21	Crawley Town - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
09.10.21	Rochdale - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Crawley Town - Leyton Orient	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWL
- Port Vale
English League Two
23.10.21	Port Vale - Colchester United	3:0 ✺
19.10.21	Mansfield Town - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Port Vale - Barrow	3:1 ✺
09.10.21	Sutton United - Port Vale	4:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Port Vale - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.03.21	Crawley Town - Port Vale	1:3
12.09.20	Port Vale - Crawley Town	2:0
14.12.19	Crawley Town - Port Vale	0:0
19.01.19	Crawley Town - Port Vale	0:1
18.08.18	Port Vale - Crawley Town	1:0
07.04.18	Port Vale - Crawley Town	1:2
05.08.17	Crawley Town - Port Vale	1:3

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