Match Info

Date: 9 October 2021, Saturday


	Sutton United		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	3
	2.5	3.1	2.85
	2.5	3.25	2.9
	2.4	3	3
	2.5	3.17	3.15
	2.45	3	2.87
	2.56	3.3	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.55)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
38.3%

Draw
29.9%

Port Vale
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

22.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Vale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sutton United - Port Vale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Sutton has the most likely position - 15 (5.27%), has project points - 63, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Port Vale has the most likely position - 2 (8.22%), has project points - 71, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Sutton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Port Vale is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
02.10.21	Northampton Town - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
25.09.21	Sutton United - Carlisle United	4:0 ✺
18.09.21	Exeter City - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
14.09.21	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	Sutton United - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLWW
- Port Vale
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Port Vale - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
English League Two
02.10.21	Port Vale - Leyton Orient	3:2 ✺
25.09.21	Scunthorpe United - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Port Vale - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	Swindon Town - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW

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