Match Info

Serie A - Round 34

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Starzplay Sports app


	Napoli		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	12	Watch
	1.34	4.7	11.5
	1.36	5.2	10.84
	1.36	4.74	10.26	Watch
	1.3	4.6	10
	1.34	5.01	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)	4.88 ↓ (4.96)	11.1 ↑ (9.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
71.7%

Draw
19.7%

Cremonese
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

19.2%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

18.2%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	15%	6.7%

Napoli - Cremonese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cremonese (7.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (47 of 60 users predict this - 78.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.91% – 88.75%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 17. Olivera M. 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 21. Politano M. (C) 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 3. Gutierrez M. 11. De Bruyne K. 27. Alisson Santos 19. Hojlund R.	1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 5. Luperto S. 3. Pezzella G. 22. Floriani R. 38. Bondo W. 29. Maleh Y. 32. Payero M. 77. Okereke D. 90. Bonazzoli F.
Substitutes
99. Anguissa F. 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 20. Elmas E. 6. Gilmour B. 23. Giovane 5. Juan Jesus 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G) 37. Spinazzola L.	4. Barbieri T. 15. Bianchetti M. 23. Ceccherini F. 18. Collocolo M. 9. Djuric M. 30. Faye M. 55. Folino F. 33. Grassi A. 69. Nava L. (G) 99. Sanabria A. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Conte A.	Giampaolo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, McTominay S. ⚽, De Bruyne K. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Hojlund R. ⚽, Politano M. (A),
45+3', 3 - 0, De Bruyne K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bondo W. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
46', Okereke D. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
46', Floriani R. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
52', 4 - 0, Alisson Santos ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic V. (A),
53', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
53', Olivera M. ↓, Beukema S. ↑,
54', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
61', Luperto S. ↓, Folino F. ↑,
61', Hojlund R. ↓, Giovane ↑,
75', De Bruyne K. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
78', Maleh Y. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
83', McTominay S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).

Napoli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cremonese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Napoli is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Lukaku R. (Hip Injury) Vergara A. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury) Vardy J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
18.04.26	Napoli - Lazio	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Napoli - Milan	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Napoli - Lecce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWWW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
19.04.26	Cremonese - Torino	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Cremonese - Bologna	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Cremonese - Fiorentina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.12.25	Cremonese - Napoli	0:2
12.02.23	Napoli - Cremonese	3:0
Coppa Italia
17.01.23	Napoli - Cremonese	2:3 penalties
Italian Serie A
09.10.22	Cremonese - Napoli	1:4
Club Friendly
24.07.19	Napoli - Cremonese	3:3

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