The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 52.9%
Draw 24.9%
Crewe Alexandra 22.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
24.9%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
25.6%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Chesterfield - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 33. Hutton R. 15. Pond A. 6. Simpson J. 46. Pearce T. 4. Naylor T. (C) 20. McEachran G. 7. Mandeville L. 18. Marsh L. 37. Koroma J. 9. Bryden F.
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. (C) 6. Offord L. 12. Stephenson J. 3. Hutchinson R. 17. Holicek M. 8. Thomas C. 11. Tabiner J. 20. Agius C. 14. Gibson J. 9. March J.
Substitutes
10. Bonis L. 11. Duffy D. 27. Dyer K. 26. Eccleston J. 19. Gordon L. 30. Lamptey R. 24. Markanday D.
30. Dancey S. 13. Lawlor I. (G) 19. Lunt O. 23. McNeill C. 29. Thibaut A. 4. Ure K. 10. White J.
Coaches
Cook P.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Koroma J. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
5', Koroma J. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
6', 2 - 0, Naylor T. ⚽, Bryden F. (A),
19', 3 - 0, Bryden F. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
35', 4 - 0, Stephenson J. (Own goal),
45+1', 5 - 0, Mandeville L. ⚽, Pearce T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tabiner J. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
46', Thomas C. ↓, Lunt O. ↑,
57', 5 - 1, McNeill C. ⚽, Gibson J. (A),
60', Pearce T. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
60', Bryden F. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
63', March J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
63', Hutchinson R. ↓, Ure K. ↑,
69', Bell L. 🟨,
74', Holicek M. ↓, White J. ↑,
77', Marsh L. ↓, Dyer K. ↑,
77', Naylor T. ↓, Lamptey R. ↑,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Chesterfield carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Chesterfield: Dickson W.
(Inactive)
Owolabi-Belewu M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Crewe: Lankester J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Chesterfield: Hemming Z.
(Inactive)
Randall J.
(Inactive)
Sotiriou R.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Crewe: Demetriou M.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:22 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chesterfield against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Crewe
14
5
7
2
17:17
0
22
10
Chesterfield
14
5
4
5
24:21
3
19
Last Results with these Odds
Chesterfield - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.