Match Info

Date: 12 January 2022, Wednesday


	Crewe Alexandra		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.9
	4	3.6	1.85
	4.1	3.5	1.91
	3.75	3.45	1.9
	4.24	3.61	1.92
	3.9	3.3	1.95
	4.45	3.62	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.63)	3.51 ↑ (3.48)	1.91 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
23.3%

Draw
27%

Charlton Athletic
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27.4%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

18.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlton Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	21.7%	68.3%

Crewe Alexandra - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 6 - 10%). Charlton will win (votes: 41 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 56.5% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).

Crewe has the most likely position - 23 (25.06%), has project points - 39, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Charlton has the most likely position - 12 (10.61%), has project points - 62, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Charlton have a series of home games.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crewe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English EFL Trophy
04.01.22	Crewe Alexandra - Rotherham United	2:4 ✺
English League One
01.01.22	Burton Albion - Crewe Alexandra	4:1 ✺
29.12.21	Morecambe - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
11.12.21	Crewe Alexandra - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2 ✺
07.12.21	Crewe Alexandra - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLW
- Charlton Athletic
English FA Cup
09.01.22	Charlton Athletic - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.01.22	Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
English League One
01.01.22	Charlton Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
18.12.21	Plymouth Argyle - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.12.21	Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.08.21	Charlton Athletic - Crewe Alexandra	2:0
27.04.21	Charlton Athletic - Crewe Alexandra	2:2
12.09.20	Crewe Alexandra - Charlton Athletic	0:2

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