The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 51.3%
Draw 25.2%
Charlton Athletic 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
26.4%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
26.2%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.6%
7.1%
14.3%
Plymouth Argyle - Charlton Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 13).
Plymouth has the most likely position - 2 (40.52%), has project points - 91, has currently - 68, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a good chance of promoted (58%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
Charlton has the most likely position - 12 (19.25%), has project points - 61, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality27, importance42, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2.
Plymouth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Charlton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Plymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.
Watch
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