Match Info

League One - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Russell M. (Eng)


	Reading		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.05
	2.22	3.55	2.98	Watch
	2.23	3.64	3.13
	2.36	3.48	2.68	Watch
	2.23	3.46	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.36)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)	2.97 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
41.6%

Draw
26.9%

Doncaster Rovers
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

26.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Reading - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Doncaster will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Doncaster (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Stevens J. (G) 2. Abrefa K. 15. O'Connor P. 33. Williams D. 5. Jacob M. 4. Elliott B. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 11. Kyerewaa D. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 32. Lane P.	29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 27. Grehan S. 12. O'Riordan C. 5. Pearson M. 3. Maxwell J. 4. Bailey O. (C) 33. Close B. 7. Molyneux L. 8. Broadbent G. 17. Middleton G. 14. Sharp B.
Substitutes
39. Ahmed A. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 29. Doyle K. 31. Norcott T. (G) 20. O'Mahony M. 26. Tuma B. 17. Yiadom A.	19. Ajayi D. 18. Crew C. 11. Gibson J. 22. Gotts R. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 6. McGrath J. 30. Olusanya T.
Coaches
Hunt N.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Lo-Tutala T. 🟨,
44', Savage C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Abrefa K. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
60', Elliott B. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Sharp B. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Doyle K. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
72', Middleton G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
75', Close B. ↓, Gotts R. ↑,
84', Sharp B. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
84', Molyneux L. ↓, Ajayi D. ↑,
89', O'Connor P. ↓, Dorsett A. J. R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 12).

In recent matches, Reading has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Doncaster is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Reading could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Reading: Garcia A. (Injury)

There will not play in Doncaster: Clifton H. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Camara M. (Ankle Injury) Fraser L. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Reading - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.43%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Doncaster Rovers - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.92%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
21.10.25	Reading - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Cardiff City - Reading	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Exeter City - Reading	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Reading - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
English League One
04.10.25	Reading - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWT
- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
18.10.25	Doncaster Rovers - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:3 ✺
English League One
04.10.25	Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.04.14	Doncaster Rovers - Reading	1:3
19.10.13	Reading - Doncaster Rovers	4:1
13.03.12	Doncaster Rovers - Reading	N/A

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