Match Info

Date: 19 April 2022, Tuesday


	Sheffield Wednesday		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	13
	1.2	6.5	14
	1.18	7	17
	1.17	6.4	14
	1.2	7.01	15.51
	1.18	6	17
	1.22	7	16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.34)	6.77 ↑ (5.4)	15.22 ↑ (9.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
79.7%

Draw
14%

Crewe Alexandra
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

17.8%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

17.8%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheffield Wednesday's performance.

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheffield Wednesday that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Sheffield Wednesday - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 4 (43.58%), has project points - 84, has currently - 76, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (88%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (98.61%), has project points - 30, has currently - 28, was already of relegated.

This event has small quality 12, small importance 23, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Sheff Wed is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crewe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sheff Wed is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
16.04.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Sheffield Wednesday	2:3 ✺
09.04.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Sheffield Wednesday - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Cheltenham Town	4:1 ✺
19.03.22	Gillingham - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWT
- Crewe Alexandra
English League One
15.04.22	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Doncaster Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
05.04.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town	1:3 ✺
19.03.22	Crewe Alexandra - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.12.21	Crewe Alexandra - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2

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