Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)


	Crewe Alexandra		Leeds United U21

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.5	1.51
	4.7	4.1	1.55
	4.4	4.5	1.53
	4.86	4.63	1.57
	2.88	3.5	2.1
	4.7	4.6	1.51
	4.5	4.6	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (1.98)	4.35 ↑ (3.66)	1.62 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
21.4%

Draw
21.3%

Leeds United U21
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.

Leeds United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds United U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+28.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (-30.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	11.1%	72.2%

Crewe Alexandra - Leeds United U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). Leeds U21 will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds U21: 57.6% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Crewe is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leeds U21 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Crewe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Leeds U21 have a series of guest games.

Leeds U21 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
29.10.22	Barrow - Crewe Alexandra	3:0 ✺
25.10.22	AFC Wimbledon - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Crewe Alexandra - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers	0:1 ✺
English League Two
14.10.22	Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLL
- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
22.10.22	Middlesbrough U21 - Leeds United U21	2:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Bolton Wanderers - Leeds United U21	3:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
10.10.22	Sunderland U21 - Leeds United U21	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Tranmere Rovers - Leeds United U21	3:5 ✺
English Premier League 2
30.09.22	Leeds United U21 - Stoke City U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches