Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Crewe Alexandra		Newcastle United U21

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.7	3.1
	1.9	3.75	3.5
	1.93	3.9	3.48
	1.93	3.9	3.48
	1.8	3.9	3.2
	1.92	3.88	3.3
	1.92	3.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.81)	3.83 ↓ (3.9)	3.33 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
48.4%

Draw
24%

Newcastle United U21
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

22.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

21.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Newcastle United U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Crewe Alexandra - Newcastle United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Booth T. (G) 2. Cooney R. 29. Kempster-Down Z. 28. Billington L. 35. Robinson N. 24. Finney C. 8. Thomas C. (C) 16. Colkett Ch. 26. Evans C. 21. Rowe A. 33. Agius C.	84. Harris A. (G) 86. Shahar L. 38. Savage R. 50. Heffernan C. (C) 72. Charlton D. 46. Scott J. 37. Carlyon N. 58. Huntley J. 88. Neave S. 43. Stephenson D. 70. Sanusi T.
Substitutes
36. Allport R. 39. Collins J. 41. Dancey S. 40. Lenarcik M. 34. Nolan L. 38. Sant L. 37. Senior M.	81. Brayson J. 35. Brown W. (G) 61. Mavididi S. 76. Milmore C. 78. Powell H. 89. Watts L.
Coaches
Bell L.	Dawson B.

Preview

Crewe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newcastle U21 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Crewe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Derby County - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Crewe Alexandra - Notts County	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Crewe Alexandra - Derby County	2:2 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWTWL
- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League Cup
11.11.23	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	0:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.10.23	Newcastle United U21 - Everton U21	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Port Vale - Newcastle United U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League Cup
07.10.23	Newcastle United U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	2:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.09.23	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
29.09.20	Crewe Alexandra - Newcastle United U21	1:0

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