Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Derby County		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.18	7.5	13
	1.19	7.75	13
	1.17	6.5	15	Watch
	1.17	8	16
	1.17	7.57	14.8
	1.14	6.5	12
	1.16	7.5	14.75	Watch
	1.18	7	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)	7.29 ↑ (4.9)	13.94 ↑ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
80.4%

Draw
12.9%

Crewe Alexandra
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

18.4%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County's performance.

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crewe Alexandra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Derby County - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wildsmith J. (G) 2. Wilson K. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. 3. Forsyth C. 7. Barkhuizen T. 12. Smith K. 4. Hourihane C. (C) 8. Bird M. 17. Sibley L. 9. Collins J.	1. Davies H. (G) 6. Offord L. (C) 5. Demetriou M. 28. Billington L. 2. Cooney R. 16. Colkett Ch. 24. Finney C. 30. White J. 3. Adebisi R. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 21. Rowe A.
Substitutes
5. Bradley S. 39. Brown D. 41. Cox D. 42. Fapetu A. 26. Robinson D. 31. Vickers J. (G) 10. Waghorn M. 23. Ward J. 43. Weston T.	33. Agius C. 13. Booth T. (G) 34. Lewis N. 35. Robinson N. 8. Thomas C. 10. Tracey S.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 2-2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Derby is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Derby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English League One
11.11.23	Derby County - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.11.23	Derby County - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Crewe Alexandra - Derby County	2:2 ✺
English League One
31.10.23	Derby County - Northampton Town	4:0 ✺
28.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Derby County	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTWL
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
11.11.23	Crewe Alexandra - Notts County	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Crewe Alexandra - Derby County	2:2 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
05.11.23	Crewe Alexandra - Derby County	2:2

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