The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 27.1%
Draw 29.4%
Stevenage Borough 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
29.2%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
30.4%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Crewe Alexandra - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
Crewe has the most likely position - 6 (5.86%), has project points - 67, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Stevenage has the most likely position - 7 (5.62%), has project points - 66, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has small quality10, small importance27, small match rating19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 4.
Recent matches Crewe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Stevenage is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Stevenage will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.
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