Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 7

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Broadhall Way (Stevenage)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5
	1.75	3.6	5
	1.76	3.69	5.08
	1.7	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.64	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.55	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	3.55 ↑ (3.48)	4.77 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
53.9%

Draw
26.5%

Carlisle United
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Stevenage Borough - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 10. Freeman N. 6. Sweeney D. 4. Thompson N. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 3. Butler D. 11. Roberts J. 17. Burns F. 23. Thompson L. 19. Reid J. 26. McNeill C.	25. Andresson J. (G) 2. Back F. 5. Lavelle S. 6. Huntington P. (C) 22. Mellish J. 3. Armer J. 7. Gibson J. 8. Guy C. 4. Moxon O. 24. Maguire S. 28. Kayode J.
Substitutes
29. Hemmings K. 9. List E. 7. MacDonald A. 41. Mitchell R. (G) 22. Neal H. 24. Thompson B. 18. White H.	12. Ablade T. 14. Garner J. 1. Holy T. (G) 10. McCalmont A. 27. Plange L. 19. Robinson J. 17. Whelan C.
Coaches
Evans S.	Simpson P.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stevenage have a series of guest games.

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Exeter City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
26.08.23	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Reading - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTL
- Carlisle United
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Carlisle United - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Port Vale - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Carlisle United - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Carlisle United - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.03.23	Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough	0:0
20.08.22	Stevenage Borough - Carlisle United	2:1
30.04.22	Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough	2:1
11.12.21	Stevenage Borough - Carlisle United	0:2
20.03.21	Stevenage Borough - Carlisle United	3:1
12.12.20	Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough	4:0
14.09.19	Stevenage Borough - Carlisle United	2:3

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