The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salford City 37.8%
Draw 29.3%
Stevenage Borough 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
25.9%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
26.6%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salford City's form might have worsened.
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+18.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.9%
11.8%
35.3%
Salford City - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 29.2% – 76.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Salford has the most likely position - 1 (33.84%), has project points - 88, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a good chance of promoted (69%), has a chance of win league (34%).
Stevenage has the most likely position - 10 (5.7%), has project points - 66, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has small quality14, importance45, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Salford won 4.
Recent matches Salford is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Stevenage is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Salford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Salford have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Salford won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
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