Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Disney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Criciúma		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.50	6.25	Watch
	1.61	3.50	5.50
	1.71	3.35	5.20	Watch
	1.66	3.70	6.18
	1.69	3.36	5.76	Watch
	1.64	3.55	6.10
	1.63	3.49	5.93	Watch
	1.64	3.45	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	5.84 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
57.1%

Draw
26.9%

São Bernardo
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25.2%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Criciúma - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Airton (G) 37. Cesar Martins 250. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 97. Willean Lepo 5. Eduardo 8. Gui Lobo 22. Marcelo Hermes 91. Otero R. 13. Waguininho 7. Fellipe Mateus	1. Alex Alves (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 35. Jemerson 97. Augusto 6. Para 26. Dudu Miraima 8. Foguinho (C) 22. Pablo Dyego 17. Romisson 27. Echapora 9. Felipe Garcia
Substitutes
20. Bidu 34. Bruno Alves 77. Diego Goncalves 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 10. Jhonata Robert 21. Joao Carlos 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 50. Thiaguinho	89. Daniel Amorim 37. Davi D. 25. Gonzaga W. 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches 42. Hyoran 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 7. Lucas Rian 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 33. Mario Sergio 29. Pedrinho
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Eduardo 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Otero R. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Waguininho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Romisson 🟨,
56', Dudu Miraima 🟨,
60', Dudu Miraima ↓, Hyoran ↑,
60', Pablo Dyego ↓, Davi D. ↑,
64', Eduardo ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
67', Rodrigo Ferreira 🟨,
70', Waguininho ↓, Nicolas ↑,
70', Otero R. ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
71', Echapora ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
78', Augusto 🟨,
80', Jhonata Robert 🟨,
81', Willean Lepo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
81', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Romarinho ↑,
81', Felipe Garcia ↓, Daniel Amorim ↑,
81', Foguinho ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

Criciúma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Bernardo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Criciúma is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Jean Irmer (Injury) Octavio Henrique (Muscle Injury) Yuri Tanque (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in São Bernardo: Lucas Fernandes (Injury) Matheus Salustiano (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Andrade (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in São Bernardo: Fabricio Daniel (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Criciúma will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88% Sao Bernardo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45

Last Results with these Odds

Criciúma - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.27%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
23.06.26	América Mineiro - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Criciúma - Ceará	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Criciúma - Londrina	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Avaí - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWT
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
21.06.26	São Bernardo - Juventude	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	São Bernardo - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	CRB Maceio - São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
31.05.26	São Bernardo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
15.05.13	Criciúma - São Bernardo	3:1
07.05.13	São Bernardo - Criciúma	1:1

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