Match Info

Serie A - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sassuolo		Genoa

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.52	2.98	3.15	Watch
	2.40	3.13	3.17	Watch
	2.59	3.11	3.25
	2.6	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.42)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
38.1%

Draw
31.6%

Genoa
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

31.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	17.2%	10.3%

Sassuolo - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 40 - 71.4%). Genoa will win (votes: 6 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 59.6% – 83.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Genoa (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sassuolo (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Genoa (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. 18. Matic N. 90. Kone I. 10. Berardi D. 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.	1. Leali N. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 17. Malinovskyi R. 32. Frendrup M. 2. Thorsby M. 3. Martin A. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
5. Cande F. 9. Cheddira W. 25. Coulibaly W. 20. Fadera A. 44. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 26. Odenthal C. 77. Pierini N. 13. Turati S. (G) 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)	23. Carboni V. 70. Cornet M. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 40. Fini S. 11. Gronbaek A. 10. Junior Messias 73. Masini P. 14. Onana J. 20. Sabelli S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 8. Stanciu N. 76. Venturino L.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Murgita R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Malinovskyi R. ⚽,
36', Marcandalli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Berardi D. ⚽,
59', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
60', Vitinha ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
64', Kone I. ↓, Vranckx A. ↑,
64', Lauriente A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
69', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
69', Marcandalli A. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
74', Masini P. 🟨,
78', Doig J. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
78', Berardi D. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
85', Thorsby M. ↓, Gronbaek A. ↑,
86', Pinamonti A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
90+2', Muharemovic T. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Ostigard L. ⚽, Martin A. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 1.

Sassuolo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Genoa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Skjellerup L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
30.10.25	Cagliari - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Sassuolo - Roma	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Verona - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sassuolo - Udinese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTWW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
29.10.25	Genoa - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Torino - Genoa	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Genoa - Parma	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Napoli - Genoa	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.05.24	Genoa - Sassuolo	2:1
22.12.23	Sassuolo - Genoa	1:2
06.01.22	Sassuolo - Genoa	1:1
17.10.21	Genoa - Sassuolo	2:2
09.05.21	Genoa - Sassuolo	1:2
06.01.21	Sassuolo - Genoa	2:1
29.07.20	Sassuolo - Genoa	5:0

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