Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Crotone		Monza

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.44	3	2.95
	2.55	3.16	3.14
	2.4	3.1	3
	2.5	3.08	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.07)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
38.4%

Draw
30.5%

Monza
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

27.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

18.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crotone's form might have worsened.

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crotone - Monza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Crotone has the most likely position - 17 (13.48%), has project points - 41, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Monza has the most likely position - 2 (9.04%), has project points - 60, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Crotone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Monza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
01.11.21	Frosinone - Crotone	2:1 ✺
28.10.21	Crotone - Benevento	0:2 ✺
22.10.21	Alessandria - Crotone	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Crotone - Pisa	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Crotone - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWT
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
01.11.21	Monza - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
27.10.21	Vicenza Virtus - Monza	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Monza - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
17.10.21	Parma - Monza	0:0 ✺
01.10.21	Lecce - Monza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTL

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