The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crotone 31.9%
Draw 27.4%
Sampdoria 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
25.9%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
19.2%
65.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crotone's performance.
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampdoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+24.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.5%
4.7%
84.7%
Crotone - Sampdoria Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sampdoria will win
(161 of 190 users predict this - 84.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.63% – 89.85%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).
Crotone has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Sampdoria has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Crotone has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Sampdoria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Our prediction for today's Sampdoria to win the game is with odds 2.35.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Crotone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
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