Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 36

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	BT Sport
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Milan		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	1.17	7	19	Watch
	1.15	8.25	19
	1.12	8.5	23	Watch
	1.14	8	17
	1.16	8.69	17.19
	1.14	8	19
	1.14	8.1	19	Watch
	1.16	8.6	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.22)	8.14 ↑ (6.16)	18.65 ↑ (13.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
83.2%

Draw
11.7%

Sampdoria
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.6%

15.3%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	3%	30.3%

Milan - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Milan has the most likely position - 5 (55.84%), project points - 67, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (18%), not chance of win league.

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (99.94%), project points - 20, currently - 18, already of relegated.

This event has quality 54, importance 32, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 4.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Milan is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Knee Injury) Ibrahimovic Z. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Audero E. (Shoulder Injury) Conti A. (Tendon Injury) Pussetto I. (Knee Injury) Sabiri A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Leris M. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 24 head-to-head matches Milan won 14 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
UEFA Champions League
16.05.23	Inter Milan - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.05.23	Spezia - Milan	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.05.23	Milan - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.05.23	Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
03.05.23	Milan - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWT
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
15.05.23	Sampdoria - Empoli	1:1 ✺
08.05.23	Udinese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
03.05.23	Sampdoria - Torino	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Fiorentina - Sampdoria	5:0 ✺
22.04.23	Sampdoria - Spezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
10.09.22	Sampdoria - Milan	1:2
13.02.22	Milan - Sampdoria	1:0
23.08.21	Sampdoria - Milan	0:1
03.04.21	Milan - Sampdoria	1:1
06.12.20	Sampdoria - Milan	1:2
29.07.20	Sampdoria - Milan	1:4
06.01.20	Milan - Sampdoria	0:0

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