The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sampdoria 19.8%
Draw 27.8%
Torino 52.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
28.7%
46.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
27.5%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.4%
10.9%
71.7%
Sampdoria - Torino Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 8 - 17.4%). Torino will win (votes: 33 - 71.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Torino: 58.7% โ 84.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 12).
Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (83.47%), project points - 22, currently - 17, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Torino has the most likely position - 13 (18.21%), project points - 51, currently - 42, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
This event has quality53, very small importance0, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 2.
Sampdoria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Torino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Torino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Torino is a favorite.
There will not play in Sampdoria: Audero E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Conti A.
(Tendon Injury)
Pussetto I.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Torino: Aina O.
(Injury)
Vieira R.
(Injury)
Zima D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sampdoria: De Luca M.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Torino: Radonjic N.
(Injury)
Last 23 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29-35.
Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-13.