Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 27

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	BT Sport
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Sampdoria		Verona

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.4	Watch
	3	3	2.5
	3.05	3.1	2.5
	3	3	2.54
	3.19	3.07	2.61
	3	3.1	2.55
	3.05	3.14	2.47	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.86)	3.07 ↓ (3.14)	2.52 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
31.2%

Draw
31%

Verona
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	39.1%	34.8%

Sampdoria - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Verona will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.2% – 59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (55.13%), project points - 23, currently - 12, a very good chance of relegated (96%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

Verona has the most likely position - 18 (35.07%), project points - 32, currently - 19, a good chance of relegated (55%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 52, importance 37, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 3.

Sampdoria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Verona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
12.03.23	Juventus - Sampdoria	4:2 ✺
05.03.23	Sampdoria - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
27.02.23	Lazio - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Sampdoria - Bologna	1:2 ✺
13.02.23	Sampdoria - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLLT
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
12.03.23	Verona - Monza	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Spezia - Verona	0:0 ✺
27.02.23	Verona - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
19.02.23	Roma - Verona	1:0 ✺
13.02.23	Verona - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.09.22	Verona - Sampdoria	2:1
23.04.22	Verona - Sampdoria	1:1
27.11.21	Sampdoria - Verona	3:1
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Sampdoria - Verona	1:0
Italian Serie A
17.04.21	Sampdoria - Verona	3:1
16.12.20	Verona - Sampdoria	1:2
08.03.20	Sampdoria - Verona	2:1

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