Match Info

Date: 10 April 2022, Sunday


	Crotone		Ternana

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.25	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.24	3.15	3.1
	2.33	3.41	3.28
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.27	3.54	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.88)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	3.1 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
41.5%

Draw
28.3%

Ternana
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crotone's performance.

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ternana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crotone - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (62.94%), has project points - 27, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Ternana has the most likely position - 13 (26.67%), has project points - 50, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 28, small importance 13, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0.

Recent matches Crotone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ternana is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crotone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Crotone won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
06.04.22	Vicenza Virtus - Crotone	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Crotone - Perugia	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Monza - Crotone	1:0 ✺
15.03.22	Crotone - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Benevento - Crotone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTLWL
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.04.22	Ternana - Lecce	1:4 ✺
02.04.22	Cittadella - Ternana	1:2 ✺
19.03.22	Ternana - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
15.03.22	Como - Ternana	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Ternana - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.11.21	Ternana - Crotone	1:0
09.04.16	Ternana - Crotone	1:2
21.11.15	Crotone - Ternana	3:0
Coppa Italia
14.08.15	Crotone - Ternana	1:0
Italian Serie B
17.01.15	Ternana - Crotone	2:1
30.08.14	Crotone - Ternana	0:2
30.03.14	Crotone - Ternana	1:1

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