The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crotone 30.4%
Draw 31.3%
Perugia 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
30.6%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
31.3%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Crotone - Perugia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (55.92%), has project points - 28, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (89%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Perugia has the most likely position - 9 (22.58%), has project points - 55, has currently - 46, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality28, small importance20, small match rating24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0.
Crotone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Perugia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Crotone won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
Watch
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