The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monza 62%
Draw 22.8%
Crotone 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.4%
23.3%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
22.9%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Monza - Crotone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Monza has the most likely position - 2 (18.28%), has project points - 68, has currently - 54, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (63%), has a good chance of promoted (53%), has a chance of win league (17%).
Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (45.26%), has project points - 28, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (89%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has quality33, importance60, match rating46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Monza is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Crotone is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Monza is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Monza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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