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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 73.6%
Draw 16.5%
Necaxa 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
18.9%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
20.2%
13.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Cruz Azul - Necaxa Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Necaxa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 6. Lira E. (C) 4. Ditta W. 22. Rodarte J. 3. Campos O. 17. Garcia A. 8. Palavecino A. 29. Rotondi C. 19. Rodriguez C. 21. Fernandez G. 20. Paradela J.
22. Unsain E. (C) 33. Martinez R. 20. Mendez F. 3. Oliveros A. 24. Rossano F. 30. Monreal R. 188. Tello I. 6. Leyva D. 17. Cortez R. 8. Faravelli L. 7. Rosero K.
Substitutes
170. Castro A. 209. Diaz J. 11. Ebere C. 1. Gudino A. (G) 214. Levy M. 10. Montano A. 194. Morales A. 18. Romero L. 197. Silva I. 193. Velazquez K.
10. Almendra A. E. 232. Alonso R. 16. Calderon C. 189. Casas B. 12. Jimenez L. (G) 26. Lara E. 2. Martinez E. 197. Moreno A. 210. Palacios J. 35. Ruiz J.
Coaches
Huiqui J.
Varini M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Paradela J. ⚽, Rotondi C. (A),
55', Tello I. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
59', Rossano F. 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Palavecino A. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
66', Garcia A. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Monreal R. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Fernandez G. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
71', Garcia A. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
72', Campos O. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
73', Mendez F. 🟨,
74', Martinez R. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
75', Lara E. 🟥,
76', Oliveros A. 🟨,
77', 3 - 1, Romero L. ⚽,
79', Faravelli L. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
79', Mendez F. ↓, Alonso R. ↑,
83', Alonso R. 🟨,
85', Paradela J. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
88', Rodarte J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 1, Montano A. ⚽, Rotondi C. (A),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Necaxa has had a series of home games.
In this match, Cruz Azul is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Cruz Azul: Ibanez N.
(Calf Injury)
Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
Piovi G.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Necaxa: Carranza J.
(Injury)
Pena A.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Necaxa: Badaloni T.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
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Mier K. (G) 
Lira E. (C) 
Palavecino A. 
Fernandez G. 
Leyva D. 
Ebere C. 
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