Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Tlaxcala		Piratas de Veracruz

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.40	1.91	Watch
	3.85	3.45	1.99
	3.76	3.44	1.94	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.92
	3.80	3.25	1.87
	3.55	3.40	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.33)	3.37 ↓ (3.38)	1.92 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlaxcala
24.9%

Draw
27.3%

Piratas de Veracruz
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

27.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.5%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Piratas de Veracruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piratas de Veracruz than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Tlaxcala - Piratas de Veracruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 5th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Tlaxcala has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Piratas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Piratas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Piratas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	16:10	6	18
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	19:23	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Tlaxcala - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.10.26	Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Tlaxcala - Cancún	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Tapatío - Tlaxcala	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWLWT
- Piratas de Veracruz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.10.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0 ✺
24.09.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Piratas de Veracruz	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Venados	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Piratas de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTW

Tlaxcala - Piratas de Veracruz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide