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Current Win Probability
Correcaminos UAT 65.5%
Draw 19.1%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
22.9%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
21.9%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Correcaminos UAT's performance.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul Hidalgo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Correcaminos UAT that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul Hidalgo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Correcaminos UAT - Cruz Azul Hidalgo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perez E. (G) 2. Ortega W. 13. Moreno G. 3. Perez O. 19. Catalan A. 7. Islas O. 8. Torres D. 25. Torres E. (C) 33. Mina D. 29. Mendoza B. 10. Guzman W.
61. Salgado B. (G) 70. Silva I. 67. Mendoza J. 50. Gonzalez K. 28. Rubio R. 47. De Los Rios S. 58. Sanchez E. 57. Valdez D. 196. Ramírez I. 68. Valdivia C. 27. Gamboa B. (C)
Substitutes
27. Cantu J. 20. Estopier J. 82. Garcia Gonzalez I. P. (G) 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 23. Gonzalez R. 5. Monarrez A. 4. Pinuelas F. 32. Sandoval T. 14. Sosa C. 11. Uribe Y.
258. Castaneda E. 69. Cubillas A. 213. Duran Islas J. 44. Leon C. 56. Montes J. 181. Moreno R. (G) 62. Rodriguez E. 63. Saavedra Nevarez A. A. 53. Taboada V. 222. Villegas E.
Coaches
Pereyra G.
Landazabal E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Torres E. 🟨,
9', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
20', Torres E. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
23', Perez O. 🟨,
29', Mendoza J. 🟨,
42', De Los Rios S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Ortega W. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
60', Gonzalez K. ↓, Castaneda E. ↑,
60', Gamboa B. ↓, Duran Islas J. ↑,
69', Mendoza B. ↓, Gomez Del Rosal N. ↑,
69', Valdivia C. ↓, Taboada V. ↑,
70', Rubio R. 🟥,
77', Ramírez I. ↓, Leon C. ↑,
77', Valdez D. ↓, Cubillas A. ↑,
88', Duran Islas J. 🟨,
89', Duran Islas J. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 15th).
Correcaminos has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cruz Azul Hidalgo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Correcaminos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Correcaminos for this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Correcaminos has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Correcaminos against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
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Perez E. (G) 
Torres E. (C) 
Mina D. 
Sandoval T. 
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