Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Henrique M. (Bra)


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.3	3.8
	1.87	3.35	3.95
	1.93	3.35	3.6
	1.97	3.54	4.1
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.88	3.48	3.98
	1.95	3.4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.57)	3.38 ↑ (3.01)	3.87 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
48.6%

Draw
27.4%

Cruzeiro
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.6%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Novorizontino's performance.

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Novorizontino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	38.5%	11.5%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Cruzeiro is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Serie A

Recent matches Novorizontino is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cruzeiro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Bruno Silva (Injury) Giovanni (Injury) Lucas Frigeri (Injury) Ronaldo (Injury)

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Chay (Injury) Daniel Jr (Red Card) Edu (Red Card) Gabriel Brazao (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury) Neto Moura (Injury) Stenio (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.22	Brusque - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
14.10.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Capibaribe	6:0 ✺
08.10.22	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:0 ✺
04.10.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Bahia	1:1 ✺
29.09.22	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTL
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.22	Cruzeiro - Guarani	0:1 ✺
14.10.22	Vila Nova - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Sport Recife - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
05.10.22	Cruzeiro - Ituano	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.07.22	Cruzeiro - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1

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