Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Alves S. M. (Bra)


	Cruzeiro		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.75
	1.5	3.7	6.5
	1.55	3.75	5.8
	1.58	3.89	6.71
	1.53	3.6	6.5
	1.55	3.85	6.05
	1.55	3.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	3.76 ↑ (3.68)	6.16 ↓ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
60.2%

Draw
24.7%

Ituano
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

25.1%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

23.9%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	15%	25%

Cruzeiro - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Ituano will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 7).

Cruzeiro is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Serie A

Cruzeiro in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ituano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cruzeiro is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Chay (Injury) Gabriel Brazao (Knee Injury) Jaja (Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury) Neto Moura (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Neto Berola (Injury) Pacheco (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Cruzeiro to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.22	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	1:4 ✺
21.09.22	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
08.09.22	Cruzeiro - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
01.10.22	Ituano - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Ituano - Brusque	2:0 ✺
13.09.22	Ponte Preta - Ituano	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Ituano - Tombense	3:0 ✺
02.09.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.07.22	Ituano - Cruzeiro	1:1

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