Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 26 July 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.37
	2.7	3.3	2.3
	2.53	3.33	2.63
	2.53	3.58	2.61	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.23)	3.38 ↑ (3.27)	2.48 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
35.9%

Draw
27.1%

Fiorentina
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 79.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Glazer O. (G) 30. Bukari O. 3. Degenek M. 4. Ivanic M. 20. Kangwa K. 17. Krasso J. 33. Mijailovic S. 80. Mitrovic S. 14. Olayinka P. 23. Rodic M. 6. Stamenic M.	1. Terracciano P. (G) 3. Biraghi C. (C) 10. Bonaventura G. 2. Dodo 6. Duncan A. 11. Ikone J. 9. Jovic L. 7. Mandragora R. 4. Martinez Quarta L. 5. Ranieri L. 8. Sabiri A.
Substitutes
21. Addo E. 16. Azarovi I. 70. Kabic U. 44. Lekovic S. 37. Lucic V. 22. Mijatovic J. 45. Mituljikic N. 2. Nedeljkovic K. 76. Nikolic L. 1. Popovic Z. (G) 29. Prutsev E. 7. Sljivic J. 5. Spajic U. 27. Vasiljevic N. (G) 13. Vigo A.	14. Amatucci L. 26. Arthur 16. Brekalo J. 20. Cabral A. 17. Castrovilli G. 12. Cerofolini M. (G) 18. Comuzzo P. 19. Kayode M. 21. Kokorin A. 23. Kouame C. 22. Martinelli T. (G) 15. Milenkovic N. 24. Munteanu L. 25. Parisi F.
Coaches
Bakhar B.	Italiano V.

Preview

Crvena Zvezda in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fiorentina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fiorentina have a series of home games.

Fiorentina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Fenerbahçe - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:3 ✺
08.07.23	Neftchi Baku - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
04.07.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Zenit	2:1 ✺
29.06.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Borac Banja Luka	2:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
28.05.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWWT
- Fiorentina
Club Friendly
23.07.23	Fiorentina - Catanzaro	3:0 ✺
20.07.23	Fiorentina - Parma	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.06.23	Fiorentina - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.06.23	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	1:3 ✺
27.05.23	Fiorentina - Roma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLWW

Upcoming Matches