Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

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	Crystal Palace		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.33
	1.65	3.9	5.25
	1.8	3.85	4.45
	1.66	4.13	5.3
	1.82	3.83	4.53	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.6
	1.81	3.93	4.48	Watch
	1.63	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)	3.89 ↓ (4.25)	4.74 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
55.2%

Draw
24.6%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

17.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crystal Palace that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	17.2%	13.8%

Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 40 - 69%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 8 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 57.1% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Crystal Palace (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Wolverhampton (4.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Wolverhampton (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (C) 23. Canvot J. 26. Richards C. 34. Riad C. 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 19. Hughes W. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 10. Pino Y. 22. Larsen J. S.	1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 27. Bellegarde J. 7. Andre 3. Bueno H. 14. Arokodare T. 36. Mane M. 9. Armstrong A.
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 59. Cardines R. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 29. Guessand E. 11. Johnson B. 18. Kamada D. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.	2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 47. Gomes A. 21. Gomes R. 8. Joao Gomes 31. Johnstone S. (G) 17. Pedro Lima 24. Toti 6. Wolfe D. M.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Hughes W. 🟨,
31', Canvot J. 🟨,
41', Wharton A. 🟨,
43', Arokodare T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hughes W. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
58', Krejci L. 🟨,
61', Krejci L. 🟨,
63', Armstrong A. ↓, Wolfe D. M. ↑,
67', Riad C. 🟨,
72', Riad C. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
77', Pino Y. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
87', Bellegarde J. ↓, Joao Gomes ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Guessand E. ⚽, Mitchell T. (A),
90+2', Mosquera Y. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
90+3', Andre 🟨,
90+6', Sarr I. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wolverhampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Crystal Palace is the team to beat.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Lerma J. (Muscle Injury) Mateta J. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Lacroix M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Gomes A. (Injury) Hwang Hee-Chan (Injury) Toti (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Crystal Palace: 0.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Crystal Palace - Burnley	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWTL
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
18.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.11.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	0:2
20.05.25	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:2
02.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	2:2
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1
English Premier League
11.05.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	1:3
03.09.23	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:2
25.04.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	2:0

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