Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: London Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 9
Germany	16:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sky Sport Mix
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	16:00	Net4+
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 3
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	17:00	Sport 4
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	20:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Maldives	19:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	08:00	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Mongolia	22:00	Premier Sports 3
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	Sky Sport 6
Nigeria	15:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
South Africa	16:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	16:00	Sky Sport Mix
Taiwan	22:00	ELTA Sports 4
Thailand	21:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
United Kingdom	15:00	Palace TV
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+


	West Ham United		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.38
	3	3.3	2.45
	3.14	3.4	2.44
	8.40	4.67	1.37	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.45
	3.2	3.42	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (2.84)	3.57 ↑ (3.48)	2.25 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
25.9%

Draw
28.7%

Crystal Palace
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

27.4%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.8%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Ham United's form might have worsened.

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Ham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	13.8%	72.4%

West Ham United - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - West Ham (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - West Ham (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crystal Palace will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 3 - 30%). Crystal Palace (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Areola A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. 12. Diouf M. 18. Fernandes M. 8. Ward-Prowse J. 20. Bowen J. (C) 10. Lucas Paqueta 7. Summerville C. 9. Wilson C.	1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 19. Hughes W. 3. Mitchell T. 18. Kamada D. 10. Pino Y. 14. Mateta J.
Substitutes
11. Fullkrug N. 1. Hermansen M. (G) 5. Igor 39. Irving A. 17. Luis Guilherme 27. Magassa S. 24. Rodriguez G. 30. Scarles O. 25. Todibo J.	23. Canvot J. 59. Cardines R. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 8. Lerma J. 31. Matthews R. (G) 9. Nketiah E. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.
Coaches
Potter G.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Mateta J. ⚽,
40', Mitchell T. 🟨,
45+1', Kilman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pino Y. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Bowen J. ⚽, Diouf M. (A),
59', Wilson C. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
65', Hughes W. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Mitchell T. ⚽,
74', Lucas Paqueta 🟨,
75', Wharton A. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
78', Fernandes M. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
78', Summerville C. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
82', Diouf M. 🟨,
90+1', Lerma J. 🟨,
90+3', Henderson D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 1.

West Ham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crystal Palace is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in West Ham: Luis Guilherme (Shoulder Injury) Soucek T. (Red Card) Wan-Bissaka A. (Illness)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Nketiah E. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
13.09.25	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.25	West Ham United - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
16.08.25	Sunderland - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLL
- Crystal Palace
English League Cup
16.09.25	Crystal Palace - Millwall	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Crystal Palace - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Fredrikstad - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.01.25	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	0:2
24.08.24	Crystal Palace - West Ham United	0:2
Club Friendly
03.08.24	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	1:3
English Premier League
21.04.24	Crystal Palace - West Ham United	5:2
03.12.23	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	1:1
29.04.23	Crystal Palace - West Ham United	4:3
06.11.22	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	1:2

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