Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Ham United		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.38
	3	3.3	2.45
	3.14	3.4	2.44
	8.40	4.67	1.37	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.45
	3.2	3.42	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (2.84)	3.57 ↑ (3.48)	2.25 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
25.9%

Draw
28.7%

Crystal Palace
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

27.4%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Ham United's form might have worsened.

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Ham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	13.8%	72.4%

West Ham United - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - West Ham (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - West Ham (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crystal Palace will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 3 - 30%). Crystal Palace (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Areola A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. 12. Diouf M. 18. Fernandes M. 8. Ward-Prowse J. 20. Bowen J. (C) 10. Lucas Paqueta 7. Summerville C. 9. Wilson C.	1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 19. Hughes W. 3. Mitchell T. 18. Kamada D. 10. Pino Y. 14. Mateta J.
Substitutes
11. Fullkrug N. 1. Hermansen M. (G) 5. Igor 39. Irving A. 17. Luis Guilherme 27. Magassa S. 24. Rodriguez G. 30. Scarles O. 25. Todibo J.	23. Canvot J. 59. Cardines R. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 8. Lerma J. 31. Matthews R. (G) 9. Nketiah E. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.
Coaches
Potter G.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Mateta J. ⚽,
40', Mitchell T. 🟨,
45+1', Kilman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pino Y. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Bowen J. ⚽, Diouf M. (A),
59', Wilson C. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
65', Hughes W. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Mitchell T. ⚽,
74', Lucas Paqueta 🟨,
75', Wharton A. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
78', Fernandes M. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
78', Summerville C. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
82', Diouf M. 🟨,
90+1', Lerma J. 🟨,
90+3', Henderson D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 1.

West Ham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crystal Palace is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in West Ham: Luis Guilherme (Shoulder Injury) Soucek T. (Red Card) Wan-Bissaka A. (Illness)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Nketiah E. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
13.09.25	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.25	West Ham United - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
16.08.25	Sunderland - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLL
- Crystal Palace
English League Cup
16.09.25	Crystal Palace - Millwall	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Crystal Palace - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Fredrikstad - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.01.25	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	0:2
24.08.24	Crystal Palace - West Ham United	0:2
Club Friendly
03.08.24	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	1:3
English Premier League
21.04.24	Crystal Palace - West Ham United	5:2
03.12.23	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	1:1
29.04.23	Crystal Palace - West Ham United	4:3
06.11.22	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	1:2

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