The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cumbayá 18%
Draw 24.1%
Delfín 58%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
30.2%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
30.4%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumbayá's form might have worsened.
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Delfín's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-22%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Delfín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
13.3%
26.7%
Cumbayá - Delfín Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Delfín will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cumbayá: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. San Juan F. (G) 4. Paredes J. (C) 16. Gustavino L. 3. Hurtado K. 14. Suarez D. 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 22. Serpa T. 18. Almagro A. 10. Tapia R. 19. Diaz M. 32. Vides B.
12. Bellolio P. (G) 13. Cuero Mercado J. W. 2. Goitea N. (C) 14. Gariglio I. 3. Elordi J. M. 25. Humanante J. 7. Sambonino K. 54. Zuniga E. 20. Mieles M. 18. Mejia M. 11. Messiniti N.
Substitutes
54. Caicedo B. 33. Cardenas Salazar O. B. (G) 37. Estacio G. 9. Magoia A. 15. Ontivero L. 12. Pluas W. 28. Suarez F. 8. Valencia M. 30. Vernaza Mina J. A.
19. Alman J. 28. Arteaga A. 30. Becerra L. 22. Cagua G. 23. Chavez H. 10. Mino M. 4. Nazareno J. 33. Recalde Baez E. E. (G) 55. Reyes M.
Coaches
Araujo N.
Buch J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Messiniti N. 🟨,
27', Cuero Mercado J. W. 🟨,
39', Zuniga E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mieles M. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
50', Tapia R. 🟨,
59', Almagro A. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
60', Zuniga E. ↓, Alman J. ↑,
63', Serpa T. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
64', Reyes M. 🟨,
67', Messiniti N. ↓, Cagua G. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Vides B. ⚽, Gustavino L. (A),
75', Sambonino K. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
78', Vides B. ↓, Pluas W. ↑,
78', Tapia R. ↓, Magoia A. ↑,
88', Gariglio I. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Cumbayá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Delfín is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Cumbayá won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
Watch
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San Juan F. (G) 
Paredes J. (C) 
Buch J. 
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