Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 14

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala)

Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)


	Orense		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.75	7	Watch
	1.46	3.75	6
	1.47	4	7	Watch
	1.45	4.1	7.88
	1.47	4.11	7.88
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.5	3.9	7.29	Watch
	1.45	3.9	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	3.91 ↑ (3.75)	7.13 ↑ (6.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orense
63.4%

Draw
23.6%

Cumbayá
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

25%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

24.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Orense - Cumbayá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. 24. Achilier G. (C) 4. Quinonez S. 52. Quinonez B. 8. Calderon R. 14. Pluas E. 10. Burbano R. 5. Eggel M. 15. Vinan B. 11. Herrera A.	23. San Juan F. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 14. Suarez D. 4. Paredes J. (C) 3. Hurtado K. 12. Pluas W. 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 22. Serpa T. 10. Tapia R. 17. Carabali E. 9. Magoia A.
Substitutes
21. Andrade J. 7. Barros C. 1. Cardenas J. (G) 59. Chuchuca W. 3. Del Grecco N. 29. Kubiszyn S. 39. Maziero A. 63. Melendres E. 25. Monaga J. 6. Sosa E. 57. Suarez A. 50. Vasquez S.	18. Almagro A. 54. Caicedo B. 33. Cardenas Salazar O. B. (G) 2. Delgado F. 20. Gruezo M. 60. Ortiz D. 29. Rivera K. 8. Valencia M. 32. Vides B.
Coaches
Escobar Saldarriaga S.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Carabali E. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Magoia A. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
46', Serpa T. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
56', Quinonez B. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
60', Tapia R. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
64', Calderon R. ↓, Maziero A. ↑,
64', Eggel M. ↓, Vasquez S. ↑,
69', Pluas W. 🟨,
77', Herrera A. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
77', Burbano R. ↓, Barros C. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Suarez D. (Own goal),
79', Suarez D. ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
89', Andrade J. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 12 and 14).

Recent matches Orense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cumbayá is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cumbayá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Orense is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Orense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Orense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.05.24	Técnico Universitario - Orense	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Delfín - Orense	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Orense - El Nacional	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Libertad Loja - Orense	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Orense - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWLTW
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.05.24	Cumbayá - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
10.05.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Cumbayá - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Cumbayá - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.11.23	Cumbayá - Orense	0:1
27.05.23	Orense - Cumbayá	1:0
23.07.22	Orense - Cumbayá	3:1
06.03.22	Cumbayá - Orense	1:1

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