The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Curicó Unido 38%
Draw 29.5%
Santiago Wanderers 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
28.1%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
28.1%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Curicó Unido - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (G) 15. Sanhueza H. 14. Medina C. 19. de La Fuente R. 21. Ormeno E. 40. Oliver F. 8. Romo J. 17. Inostroza B. 7. Fernandez N. 13. Bustamante C. 25. Lopes Acevedo M.
36. Martinez B. (G) 16. Navarro P. 18. Felipe S. 31. Valenzuela C. 2. Silva C. 5. Navarro L. 8. Silva J. 14. Ponce C. 9. Camarda M. 23. Flores I. 37. San Martin D.
Substitutes
27. Alfaro J. 11. Aliaga I. 39. Gomez J. P. 23. Lopez L. 10. Retamales J. 16. Riveros R. 1. Vergara T. (G)
35. Avello F. (G) 20. Avendano L. 17. Caceres C. 24. Dubo A. 10. Luna J. 32. Vargas V. 27. Vera V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, San Martin D. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Bustamante C. (Own goal),
36', Ponce C. 🟨,
45+2', Oliver F. 🟥,
45+4', Romo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bustamante C. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
54', San Martin D. 🟨,
58', Ponce C. ↓, Vera V. ↑,
58', San Martin D. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
59', Inostroza B. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
59', Romo J. ↓, Retamales J. ↑,
59', Medina C. ↓, Gomez J. P. ↑,
67', de La Fuente R. 🟨,
76', Lopes Acevedo M. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
78', Navarro L. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
88', Camarda M. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
88', Flores I. ↓, Dubo A. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Vera V. ⚽,
90+1', Felipe S. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 2.
Curicó Unido has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santiago Wanderers is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers
26
12
8
6
41:28
13
44
13
Curico Unido
26
6
9
11
22:39
-17
24
Last Results with these Odds
Curicó Unido - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.14%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Chile
Watch
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Tello D. (G) 
Sanhueza H. 
Felipe S. 
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