Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 25

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Cwmbran Celtic		Abergavenny Town

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	6.5
	1.32	5.64	5.87
	1.3	5.45	6.95
	1.32	5.2	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	5.45 ↑ (5.35)	6.38 ↑ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cwmbran Celtic
69.2%

Draw
16.6%

Abergavenny Town
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

16.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

12.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Abergavenny Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cwmbran Celtic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Abergavenny Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bonthron A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Bonthron A. ⚽,
21', 3 - 0, Bonthron A. ⚽,
25', 4 - 0, McCauley L. ⚽,
35', 5 - 0, Iles L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 6 - 0, Bonthron A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Cwmbran Celtic is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Abergavenny Town has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cwmbran Celtic is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cwmbran Celtic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cwmbran Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
01.04.24	Pontardawe Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:3 ✺
29.03.24	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4 ✺
16.03.24	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	1:1 ✺
13.03.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLLTW
- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
01.04.24	Llantwit Major - Abergavenny Town	4:0 ✺
29.03.24	Afan Lido - Abergavenny Town	6:0 ✺
16.03.24	Baglan Dragons - Abergavenny Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Abergavenny Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
23.02.24	Abergavenny Town - Cambrian United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
08.09.23	Abergavenny Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1
02.01.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Abergavenny Town	2:1
27.12.22	Abergavenny Town - Cwmbran Celtic	0:3

Cwmbran Celtic - Abergavenny Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide