Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Daejeon World Cup Stadium (Daejeon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Daejeon Citizen		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.60	3.50
	1.72	3.65	4.2	Watch
	1.79	4.05	4.51
	1.71	4.08	4.3	Watch
	1.69	4	4.45
	1.72	4.13	4.35	Watch
	1.71	3.65	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.54)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)	4.2 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Citizen
53.5%

Draw
24.2%

Kyoto Sanga
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daejeon Citizen's performance.

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyoto Sanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daejeon Citizen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyoto Sanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Daejeon Citizen - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Kyoto will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Daejeon Citizen: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Daejeon Citizen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Daejeon Citizen (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Daejeon Citizen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 6. Kang Yun-Sung 45. Ha Chang-Rae 98. Krivotsyuk A. 16. Lee Myung-Jae 44. Lee Soon-Min 8. Victor Bobsin 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 7. Ishida M. 17. Ludwigson G. 10. Joo Min-Kyu (C)	90. Halls (G) 40. Ishida Y. 5. Tawiah H. 15. Nagata K. 44. Sato K. 10. Fukuoka S. (C) 14. Thiago 77. Arai H. 38. Everton Maceio 18. Matsuda T. 93. Nagasawa S.
Substitutes
9. Diogo Oliveira 77. Joao Victor 30. Kim Bong-Soo 13. Kim Jin-Ya 14. Kim Jun-Beom 3. Kim Min-Duk 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 25. Lee Jun-Seo (G) 41. Park Byung-chan 2. Park K. 19. Seo Jin-Su 11. Um Won-Sang	31. Hiraga S. 6. Joao Pedro 21. Kakoi K. (G) 26. Kato R. 48. Nakano R. 1. Ota G. (G) 9. Rafael Elias 62. Shichi T. 19. Silva D. 17. Souza Alex 50. Suzuki Y.
Coaches
Hwang Sun-Hong	Popovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Everton Maceio ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
57', Matsuda T. ↓, Kato R. ↑,
63', Fukuoka S. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
63', Thiago ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
68', Jeong Jae-Hee ↓, Seo Jin-Su ↑,
68', Joo Min-Kyu ↓, Diogo Oliveira ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Victor Bobsin ⚽,
80', Victor Bobsin ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
80', Ishida M. ↓, Kim Bong-Soo ↑,
80', Nagasawa S. ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
90+2', Ludwigson G. ↓, Kim Jun-Beom ↑,

Preview

Daejeon Citizen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kyoto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Daejeon Citizen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Daejeon Citizen might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Daejeon Citizen - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Kyoto Sanga - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.34%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1
12.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Anyang	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
30.08.26	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	3:1 ✺
26.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWLW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
11.09.26	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Maruyasu Okazaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTWW

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