Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	10:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:30	Fast Sports
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	09:30	Disney+
Colombia	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	15:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8, WOW
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	07:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	13:30	Onefootball


	Dynamo Dresden		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	4	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.05	Watch
	1.81	4.15	4.43
	1.8	3.69	4.45	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4	Watch
	1.78	4.07	4.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.93 ↑ (3.75)	4.17 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
53.3%

Draw
24%

Holstein Kiel
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	56.5%	13%

Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 56.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Holstein Kiel (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 39. Keller T. 42. Muller F. 19. Rossipal A. 18. Wagner R. 6. Amoako K. 7. Ceka J. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 20. Bobzien B. 9. Vermeij V.	1. Weiner T. (G) 23. Rosenboom L. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 28. Meffert J. (C) 20. Kapralik A. 8. Tohumcu U. 10. Therkelsen J. 11. Bernhardsson A. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
29. Boeder L. 33. Daferner C. 2. Faber K. 16. Froling N. 8. Herrmann L. 30. Kutschke S. 10. Lemmer J. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G)	43. Borges L. 3. Komenda M. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 40. Parduzi L. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 49. Ugoh I.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Rossipal A. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Rossipal A. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Amoako K. (A),
41', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
45+3', Wagner R. 🟨,
45+4', Bernhardsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Ivezic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kapralik A. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
68', Rossipal A. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
69', Ceka J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
74', Ivezic M. ↓, Parduzi L. ↑,
74', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Ugoh I. ↑,
74', Vermeij V. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
75', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Parduzi L. (A),
82', Zec D. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
89', Amoako K. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
90+1', Harres P. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.

In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Holstein Kiel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Dynamo Dresden is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 6:24. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Holstein Kiel	9	1	5	3	10:11	-1	8
15	SG Dynamo Dresden	9	2	2	5	11:18	-7	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Holstein Kiel: 0.53%

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Dresden - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.92%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
09.05.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dynamo Dresden - Kaiserslautern	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Dynamo Dresden - Bochum	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Nürnberg - Dynamo Dresden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWW
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
09.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1
16.04.22	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	0:0
05.11.21	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1
18.06.20	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:0
30.11.19	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	1:2
12.05.19	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	3:0
09.12.18	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	0:2

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