Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Dynamo Dresden		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	4	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.05	Watch
	1.81	4.15	4.43
	1.8	3.69	4.45	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4	Watch
	1.78	4.07	4.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.93 ↑ (3.75)	4.17 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
53.3%

Draw
24%

Holstein Kiel
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

28.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	56.5%	13%

Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 56.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Holstein Kiel (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 39. Keller T. 42. Muller F. 19. Rossipal A. 18. Wagner R. 6. Amoako K. 7. Ceka J. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 20. Bobzien B. 9. Vermeij V.	1. Weiner T. (G) 23. Rosenboom L. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 28. Meffert J. (C) 20. Kapralik A. 8. Tohumcu U. 10. Therkelsen J. 11. Bernhardsson A. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
29. Boeder L. 33. Daferner C. 2. Faber K. 16. Froling N. 8. Herrmann L. 30. Kutschke S. 10. Lemmer J. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G)	43. Borges L. 3. Komenda M. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 40. Parduzi L. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 49. Ugoh I.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Rossipal A. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Rossipal A. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Amoako K. (A),
41', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
45+3', Wagner R. 🟨,
45+4', Bernhardsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Ivezic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kapralik A. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
68', Rossipal A. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
69', Ceka J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
74', Ivezic M. ↓, Parduzi L. ↑,
74', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Ugoh I. ↑,
74', Vermeij V. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
75', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Parduzi L. (A),
82', Zec D. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
89', Amoako K. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
90+1', Harres P. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.

In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Holstein Kiel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Dynamo Dresden is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 6:24. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.7).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Holstein Kiel: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Dresden - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.92%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
09.05.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dynamo Dresden - Kaiserslautern	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Dynamo Dresden - Bochum	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Nürnberg - Dynamo Dresden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWW
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
09.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1
16.04.22	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	0:0
05.11.21	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1
18.06.20	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:0
30.11.19	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	1:2
12.05.19	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	3:0
09.12.18	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	0:2

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