Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Italy	Sky Sport Arena
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Stuttgart		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8	Watch
				Watch
	1.36	5.5	8	Watch
	1.38	5	8
	1.38	5.44	8.28
	1.3	4.6	7
	1.36	5.35	7.8	Watch
	1.39	5.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	5.16 ↑ (4.47)	7.84 ↑ (6.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
69.6%

Draw
18.4%

Darmstadt
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

19.8%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.1%	2.8%	7%

Stuttgart - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (64 of 71 users predict this - 90.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.21% – 97.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 15. Stenzel P. 2. Anton W. (C) 23. Zagadou D. 21. Ito H. 16. Karazor A. 6. Stiller A. 14. Silas 8. Millot E. 27. Fuhrich C. 9. Guirassy S.	1. Schuhen M. (G) 38. Riedel C. 23. Gjasula K. 14. Klarer C. 26. Bader M. 32. Holland F. (C) 19. Karic E. 6. Mehlem M. 18. Honsak M. 24. Pfeiffer L. 27. Skarke T.
Substitutes
1. Bredlow F. (G) 25. Egloff L. 18. Leweling J. 19. Milosevic J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 40. Raimund L. 29. Rouault A. 20. Stergiou L. 26. Undav D.	30. Brunst A. (G) 28. Franjic B. 11. Kempe T. 16. Muller A. 20. Muller J. 17. Ronstadt F. 8. Schnellhardt F. 22. Seydel A. 10. Stojilkovic F.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Lieberknecht T.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 1.

Stuttgart is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Darmstadt has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Darmstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stuttgart is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Kastanaras T. (Muscle Injury) Nartey N. (Knee Injury) Ulrich L. (Illness) Vagnoman J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Brunst A. (Shoulder Injury) Honsak M. (Muscle Injury) Hornby F. (Hip Injury) Maglica M. (Red Card) Torsiello F. (Hip Injury) Zimmermann C. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Injury) Manu B. M. (Illness) Vilhelmsson O. (Illness)

Our prediction for today's Stuttgart to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Stuttgart won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
16.09.23	Mainz - Stuttgart	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Stuttgart - St. Gallen	8:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
02.09.23	Stuttgart - Freiburg	5:0 ✺
25.08.23	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	5:1 ✺
19.08.23	Stuttgart - Bochum	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
17.09.23	Darmstadt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3 ✺
02.09.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Darmstadt	5:1 ✺
26.08.23	Darmstadt - Union Berlin	1:4 ✺
20.08.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
14.08.23	Homburg - Darmstadt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.07.21	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
28.06.20	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	1:3
16.12.19	Darmstadt - Stuttgart	1:1
German Bundesliga
02.04.16	Darmstadt - Stuttgart	2:2
01.11.15	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	2:0
Club Friendly
16.07.14	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	2:1

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