Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 46

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Dartford		Truro City

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	1.95	3.6	3.5
	2.02	3.96	3.25
	2.02	3.96	3.16
	2.1	3.6	2.8
	1.96	3.53	3.49
	1.95	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.17)	3.66 ↑ (3.51)	3.26 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
46.4%

Draw
25.2%

Truro City
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+3%)

Dartford - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Nembhard J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 2 - 0, Hamon J. (Own goal),
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Dartford is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dartford won 1.

Dartford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Truro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dartford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Truro have a series of home games.

Dartford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Dartford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Dartford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English National League South
13.04.24	Yeovil Town - Dartford	3:1 ✺
09.04.24	Dartford - Worthing	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Dartford - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Chelmsford City - Dartford	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL
- Truro City
English National League South
18.04.24	Truro City - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
16.04.24	Truro City - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Truro City - Maidstone United	3:1 ✺
11.04.24	Truro City - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Truro City - Eastbourne Borough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.03.24	Truro City - Dartford	0:0
30.03.19	Dartford - Truro City	1:1
27.10.18	Truro City - Dartford	3:1
24.02.18	Dartford - Truro City	4:1
11.11.17	Truro City - Dartford	3:1
18.03.17	Dartford - Truro City	5:3
08.10.16	Truro City - Dartford	0:5

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