Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 12

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday


	Truro City		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.33
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.66	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.69	3.76	4.76
	1.7	3.76	4.76
	1.62	3.9	4.4
	1.67	3.79	4.62
	1.63	3.6	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	3.75 ↓ (3.78)	4.62 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
55.6%

Draw
24.5%

Dover Athletic
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.4%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

21%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Dover Athletic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Truro City - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Harvey T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Postponed due to waterlogged pitch.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Truro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dover has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Truro have a series of guest games.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
13.04.24	Truro City - Maidstone United	3:1 ✺
11.04.24	Truro City - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Truro City - Eastbourne Borough	0:0 ✺
08.04.24	Truro City - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Truro City - Aveley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTLT
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
13.04.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Welling United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Dover Athletic - Farnborough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.01.24	Dover Athletic - Truro City	0:2
18.02.12	Dover Athletic - Truro City	N/A

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