Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)


	Defensa y Justicia		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.95
	2.38	3.15	3.05
	2.43	3.23	3.1
	2.3	3	3
	2.36	3.32	2.99	Watch
	2.32	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.11)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)	3.03 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
39.6%

Draw
29.4%

América Mineiro
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Defensa y Justicia - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.04.23	Defensa y Justicia - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
11.04.23	Banfield - Defensa y Justicia	0:3 ✺
08.04.23	Defensa y Justicia - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Millonarios - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.03.23	Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLT
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
15.04.23	América Mineiro - Fluminense	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.04.23	Nova Iguaçu - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
09.04.23	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	América Mineiro - Peñarol de Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.04.23	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

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