Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Mendez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Defensa y Justicia		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	5	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.75
	1.75	3.75	4.33
	1.75	3.77	4.55
	1.75	3.76	4.73	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5	Watch
	1.73	3.65	4.79	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.66 ↑ (3.65)	4.69 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
54.2%

Draw
25.7%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 28. Aguilera E. 34. Delgado R. 3. Soto A. 8. Perez C. 5. Gutierrez K. 20. Gonzalez L. 26. Gonzalez F. 7. Osorio A. 11. Togni G.	22. Romo R. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 37. Medina C. 15. Moreno L. 8. Clavijo E. 7. Fajardo J. 28. Diaz M. 11. Diaz I. 18. Palacios B.
Substitutes
6. Ferreira L. 31. La Roza U. 1. Masuero F. (G) 21. Miranda M. 9. Miritello J. B. 10. Molinas A. 15. Perez D. 37. Ramirez M. 38. Rubio T. 35. Schamine B. 22. Sosa S.	5. Cacciabue J. 20. Castillo Saa J. L. 12. Lara J. (G) 9. Londono A. 30. Maciel M. 3. Mosquera I. 23. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Sanchez I. 17. Troya R. 44. Valencia E.
Coaches
de Muner P.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Cannavo E. ⚽, Osorio A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Jhon Chancellor ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
61', Fajardo J. 🟨,
66', Perez C. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
66', Gonzalez F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
68', Palacios B. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
76', Diaz M. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
77', Diaz I. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
77', Gutierrez K. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
87', Osorio A. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
87', Gonzalez L. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
89', Cannavo E. 🟨,
89', Londono A. 🟨,
90+1', Fajardo J. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,

Preview

Defensa y Justicia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Defensa y Justicia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.25	Vitória Salvador - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia	3:2 ✺
28.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Defensa y Justicia	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLLT
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.05.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.25	Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.05.25	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Defensa y Justicia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Defensa y Justicia	3:1

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