Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Ceballo C. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	6	Watch
	1.68	3.1	5.25
	1.68	3.1	5.6
	1.7	3.15	5.2
	1.71	3.19	6.59
	1.73	3	5.25
	1.69	3.22	5.25
	1.71	3.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	5.54 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
54.3%

Draw
29.1%

Villa Dálmine
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

28.1%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

27.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Defensores de Belgrano - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Dálmine is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores de Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Defensores de Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.09.22	Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0 ✺
10.09.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.08.22	Defensores de Belgrano - All Boys	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWTTW
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.09.22	Villa Dálmine - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
10.09.22	Tristán Suárez - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Villa Dálmine - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
26.08.22	Instituto Córdoba - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Villa Dálmine - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Villa Dálmine	2:0
04.05.21	Villa Dálmine - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
10.01.21	Villa Dálmine - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2
20.10.19	Villa Dálmine - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
06.04.19	Defensores de Belgrano - Villa Dálmine	2:1

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