Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)


	Delfín		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.18	3.2	3.05
	2.33	3.42	3.09
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.25	3.38	3.04	Watch
	2.22	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	3.09 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
41.6%

Draw
28.3%

9 de Octubre
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Delfín's form might have worsened.

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Delfín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 9 de Octubre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Delfín - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 6 - 60%). 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Delfín: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Delfín has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

9 de Octubre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Delfín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Delfín will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Delfín won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Delfín won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.09.22	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	2:0 ✺
05.09.22	Delfín - Técnico Universitario	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Cumbayá - Delfín	2:1 ✺
15.08.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	3:2 ✺
06.08.22	Delfín - Emelec	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Copa
14.09.22	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.09.22	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
08.09.22	El Nacional - 9 de Octubre	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.09.22	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	9 de Octubre - Emelec	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.04.22	9 de Octubre - Delfín	0:1
Copa Sudamericana
17.03.22	9 de Octubre - Delfín	2:0
10.03.22	Delfín - 9 de Octubre	1:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.11.21	9 de Octubre - Delfín	1:0
29.05.21	Delfín - 9 de Octubre	2:2

Delfín - 9 de Octubre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide